Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 9.766715 11.295736 12.934581 14.815964 16.910069 19.163338 21.765043
2025-06-08 7.586365 9.528636 11.743969 14.438067 17.605126 21.188982 25.529051
2025-06-15 6.336832 8.533977 11.173053 14.535858 18.663226 23.518800 29.614385
2025-06-22 5.326299 7.645224 10.563524 14.438294 19.374293 25.375295 33.137858
2025-06-29 4.648079 7.065980 10.237638 14.602495 20.342633 27.517141 37.031243
2025-07-06 4.107198 6.587686 9.968346 14.774483 21.276944 29.604541 40.888857
2025-07-13 3.747220 6.309042 9.922146 15.207775 22.537327 32.122103 45.350115
2025-07-20 3.399089 6.000115 9.791715 15.491365 23.579901 34.364063 49.500278
2025-07-27 3.021295 5.597797 9.481444 15.480096 24.189202 36.022233 52.903457
2025-08-03 2.550748 4.989724 8.805057 14.875501 23.908065 36.430393 54.605389
2025-08-10 2.232666 4.591659 8.408765 14.645728 24.130269 37.513542 57.231149
2025-08-17 1.934744 4.189815 7.966789 14.305411 24.155197 38.297471 59.440022
2025-08-24 1.700969 3.875538 7.641914 14.126876 24.412632 39.423742 62.172821
2025-08-31 1.466415 3.527812 7.227094 13.769031 24.366495 40.092222 64.255407
2025-09-07 1.331920 3.356090 7.098674 13.865709 25.019577 41.797030 67.865690
2025-09-14 1.185238 3.139335 6.869255 13.772831 25.359328 43.033821 70.813361
2025-09-21 1.088026 3.013115 6.792427 13.931419 26.101592 44.891179 74.713809
2025-09-28 1.001274 2.897690 6.724536 14.097262 26.855570 46.780323 78.699454
2025-10-05 0.951098 2.858333 6.797946 14.514729 28.036250 49.354558 83.768588
2025-10-12 0.889180 2.783005 6.793560 14.787993 28.980675 51.580003 88.353136
2025-10-19 0.804443 2.640065 6.640887 14.777150 29.437852 53.044792 91.801823
2025-10-26 0.677273 2.368816 6.198956 14.194704 28.882159 52.874481 92.716270
2025-11-02 0.595338 2.200769 5.956799 13.973396 28.938348 53.677647 95.149074